Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 14.404450 16.501556 18.812592 21.550834 24.710142 28.244922 32.505444
2025-11-09 11.363954 14.035226 17.217207 21.296381 26.401062 32.596451 40.714282
2025-11-16 9.551833 12.439773 16.074497 21.003018 27.540297 35.953776 47.667717
2025-11-23 8.213643 11.168473 15.058015 20.580229 28.264586 38.646073 53.848487
2025-11-30 7.629656 10.777359 15.088638 21.465087 30.726034 43.793671 63.820040
2025-12-07 6.991568 10.214036 14.785538 21.796956 32.376005 47.895867 72.672564
2025-12-14 6.360657 9.578238 14.289764 21.757471 33.422064 51.151980 80.535181
2025-12-21 5.787350 8.960160 13.743132 21.556932 34.158522 53.951572 87.913319
2025-12-28 5.521953 8.781033 13.833828 22.333801 36.474055 59.404853 100.108740
2026-01-04 5.235385 8.535665 13.788176 22.869938 38.424856 64.420271 112.068020
2026-01-11 5.023994 8.388620 13.879464 23.626556 40.795595 70.333134 126.179374
2026-01-18 4.589655 7.828581 13.234309 23.059864 40.809326 72.155285 133.108343
2026-01-25 4.238030 7.384756 12.756093 22.753742 41.278658 74.869633 142.070681
2026-02-01 3.929642 6.989570 12.327262 22.492901 41.798148 77.713092 151.578413
2026-02-08 3.645560 6.612490 11.896130 22.182015 42.181374 80.314741 160.859161
2026-02-15 3.370278 6.227834 11.417703 21.734314 42.249518 82.297945 169.074637
2026-02-22 3.306027 6.230085 11.652149 22.671351 45.112628 90.030854 190.044442
2026-03-01 3.170384 6.084444 11.593449 23.022818 46.824399 95.595482 207.000221
2026-03-08 2.998361 5.853866 11.351330 22.981001 47.715668 99.536586 220.816824
2026-03-15 2.821179 5.598908 11.040489 22.768618 48.222336 102.700090 233.216195
2026-03-22 2.767904 5.588935 11.217818 23.591397 51.027923 111.095698 258.633678
2026-03-29 2.690479 5.522924 11.274638 24.159266 53.322343 118.575711 282.741600
2026-04-05 2.639128 5.506994 11.433158 24.960728 56.213774 127.683051 311.863241